BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Elk Horn-Kimballton

Class: 1A Class Rank: 102 Conference: (9-5) Overall: (10-12) Overall Strength =   36.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Away    W    54.39  45   37   1A   74 (14- 8) Guthrie Center         17.72     -9.72                      
  2 12/05/2003 Home    L    24.14  31   62   1A   33 (17- 6) Treynor               -12.53    -18.47                      
  3 12/06/2003 Home    L    48.84  52   53   1A   48 (18- 6) Coon Rapids-Bayard     12.16    -13.16                      
  4 12/12/2003 Home    W *  42.51  55   43   1A  118 ( 7-13) Walnut                  5.84      6.16                      
  5 12/16/2003 Away    L *  13.95  38   59   1A  112 ( 8-14) Adair-Casey           -22.72      1.72                      
  6 12/19/2003 Home    W *  44.69  63   56   1A   88 (13-10) Earlham                 8.02     -1.02                      
  7 12/20/2003 Away    L    41.50  46   56   2A   95 (12-10) Panora Panorama         4.83    -14.83                      
  8 01/10/2004 Away    L    21.71  45   76   1A   50 (13- 9) Manilla IKM           -14.96    -16.04                      
  9 01/12/2004 Home    L *  42.94  50   52   1A   61 (14- 8) Anita CAM               6.26     -8.26                      
 10 01/13/2004 Away    L *  18.19  44   73   1A   70 (21- 4) Orient-Macksburg      -18.48    -10.52                      
 11 01/16/2004 Home    W *  29.46  46   38   1A  137 ( 4-18) Exira                  -7.21     15.21                      
 12 01/20/2004 Away    W *  30.67  46   36   1A  145 ( 3-19) WDM Iowa Christian     -6.00     16.00                      
 13 01/23/2004 Away    L *  38.86  46   56   1A   61 (14- 8) Anita CAM               2.18    -12.18                      
 14 01/30/2004 Home    W *  53.03  75   53   1A  112 ( 8-14) Adair-Casey            16.36      5.64                      
 15 01/31/2004 Home    L    30.97  49   90   1A    3 (26- 1) Manning                -5.70 *  -35.30                      
 16 02/07/2004 Away    W *  44.43  60   50   1A  118 ( 7-13) Walnut                  7.76      2.24  rescheduled from 01/27/04
 17 02/10/2004 Away    L *  17.38  46   54   1A  137 ( 4-18) Exira                 -19.29     11.29                      
 18 02/12/2004 Away    W *  61.61  65   45   1A   88 (13-10) Earlham                24.94     -4.94  rescheduled from 02/03/04
 19 02/13/2004 Home    W *  21.75  57   52   1A  145 ( 3-19) WDM Iowa Christian    -14.92     19.92                      
 20 02/14/2004 Home    W *  44.27  44   43   1A   70 (21- 4) Orient-Macksburg        7.60     -6.60  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 21 02/17/2004 Away    L    40.55  57   74   2A   68 (19- 5) Avoca AHST              3.87    -20.87                      
 22 02/26/2004 Neutral L    40.93  32   65   1A    3 (26- 1) Manning                 4.26 *  -37.26                      
      Averages              36.67  49.6 55.6

Best game:   61.61 = 20 point win over Earlham
Worst game:  13.95 = 21 point loss to Adair-Casey
Team stdev:  13.13